読書リスト 2026年2月21日号
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建物、インフラ、産業技術に関するニュースやリンクを週次でまとめた読書リストの紹介です。
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建築・インフラ・産業技術週間読書リスト要約
今週の読書リストは、住宅市場の動向、中国EVの競争力、米国の税制政策など、多岐にわたるトピックを扱っている。
まず、米国住宅市場の地域格差に関する分析が紹介されている。直近1年間で、中西部と北東部の一部では住宅価格が上昇している一方、南部では下落している。興味深いことに、この価格変動は住宅の建築年齢の分布と強く相関している。価格が上昇している地域では1939年以前に建てられた住宅の割合が高く、下落している南部では2000年以降に建てられた住宅が大部分を占める。また、COVID-19パンデミック時に最も価格が急騰した地域が、現在では住宅の売却が最も困難な市場となっているという逆転現象も指摘されている。
住宅所有の見通しと人々の行動に関する調査では、低所得層において、賃貸居住者(特に将来的に住宅購入を望む者)が、暗号資産への投資傾向が高く、仕事への努力が低いと自己申告する割合も高いという興味深いデータが提示された。
政策面では、フロリダ州議会が、学校税以外の固定資産税を主要居住地(ホームステッド資産)から撤廃する法案を可決したことが報じられている。これは、1970年代後半にカリフォルニア州で可決され、開発反対運動を固定化した「提案13号」(固定資産税の大幅引き下げと据え置き)のような「納税者反乱」が再び勢いを得ている可能性を示唆している。
産業技術の分野では、中国EVの低価格競争力の源泉についての分析が取り上げられた。その要因は、労働生産性(欧米企業より低い)や補助金ではなく、垂直統合の徹底にあると結論づけている。BYDのような企業は、サプライヤーのマークアップを排除するため、より高い初期の設備投資と研究開発費を負担しているが、これが持続的な価格引き下げを可能にする根本的な強みとなっている。一方で、米国では、フォードとトランプ政権が、合弁事業を通じた中国自動車工場の米国内設立について協議を続けていると報じられた。
最後に、米中の貿易戦争と、データセンター建設のための台湾からの半導体等電子機器の輸入急増により、米国の輸入元として台湾が中国を上回ったという経済構造の変化が示されている。
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Reading List 02/21/26 - by Brian Potter
SubscribeSign inReading List 02/21/26
An upside-down model built by architect Antoni Gaudi, used to determine the shape of arches. Via Data Physicalization.Welcome to the reading list, a weekly roundup of news and links related to buildings, infrastructure, and industrial technology. Roughly 2/3rds of the reading list is paywalled, so for full access become a paid subscriber.
A map of how home prices have shifted in the last year. Prices in the midwest and parts of the northeast are up, prices in the south are down. [X]
Interestingly, this map lines up really well with this map of what time period the largest fraction of homes in a given area were built in. In the midwest and northeast, for most areas the largest fraction were built prior to 1939. In the south, for most areas it’s post-2000. [X]
Also, the places with the biggest COVID housing price booms are now the places where it’s the hardest to sell your house. [X]
Bloomberg has a piece looking at different decisions made by homeowners, renters who expect to buy a home someday, and renters who expect never to own a home. One interesting datapoint: for low-income brackets, renters have a higher propensity to invest in crypto, and a higher rate of reporting that they put in low effort at work. [Bloomberg]
Related, in an essay about California’s pivot to anti-growth in the 1960s, I noted how Prop 13, which cut property taxes and locked in extremely low tax rates, cemented the opposition to growth that had been rising since the 1960s, and that there were similar “tax revolts” in states across the country. Now it seems like opposition to property tax is gaining traction again: Florida’s house of representatives just passed a bill that would remove non-school property taxes for all “homesteaded properties” (which, as I understand it, basically means primary residences). [Florida Phoenix]
The Rhodium Group has a good article breaking down why Chinese EVs are so cheap. It doesn’t seem to be about labor productivity (which is lower than Western firms), or subsidies. Instead, the advantage mostly comes from the level of vertical integration they’re operating at. “For BYD, vertical integration is the single most important factor behind the company’s price advantage. That said, even among Chinese OEMs, BYD and Leapmotor are outliers. This helps explain why BYD has been among the companies most consistently leading price decreases over 2024 and 2025. Vertical integration requires higher upfront capex and R&D, but it eliminates supplier markups across a much larger share of the vehicle.” [RHG]
Discussions between Ford and the Trump administration about setting up Chinese car plants in the US via joint ventures. This idea keeps coming up. [Bloomberg]
Thanks to the trade war with China, and the huge amount of chips and other electronics the US is importing from Taiwan for data center construction, the US now imports more from Taiwan than it does from China. [X]
Similarly, thanks to the huge demand for memory chips from AI data centers, computer memory manufacturer Micron is spending billions of dollars on new memory fabs in the US. “In Boise, where the company is based, Micron is spending $50 billion to more than double the size of its 450-acre campus, including the construction of two new chip factories, or fabs…That’s not all. Near Syracuse, Micron just broke ground on a $100 billion fab complex that represents the state of New York’s largest-ever private investment.” [Wall Street Journal]
Likewise, TSMC is planning to spend $100B on four more Arizona fabs. [Tech Powerup]
The WSJ on the EV writedowns of the US auto manufacturers. “More than $20 billion in previously announced investments in EV and battery facilities were wiped out last year, according to Atlas Public Policy, which tracks clean-economy investments. That drove the first net annual decrease in announced investments in years.” [Wall Street Journal] Related, car manufacturer Stellantis sells its stake in a Canadian battery manufacturing plant for $100. [Detroit News]
US vaccine manufacturers are struggling: thanks to RFK’s anti-vaccine efforts at the Department of Health and Human Services, vaccine sales are down, jobs are getting cut, and investments in new vaccines are being scaled back. And it seems like things might get even worse for them. “A major concern for the big companies is whether the Trump administration will do away with the special liability protections afforded to vaccine makers that have helped them stay in the market.” [NYT]
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